The following figures were obtained form Morningstar:
- EPS
- P/E Ratio
- Dividend Yield%
- Actual Annual Return
Additonal figures are FinancialPhysics calculations and predictions (in italics)
|
| CONSUMER RELATED STOCKS |
Chico's FAS Inc. (CHS)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$0.10 |
$0.17 |
$0.25 |
$0.39 |
$0.57 |
$0.78 |
$1.06 |
$1.12 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
16.8 |
21.1 |
29.7 |
23.4 |
32.3 |
33.8 |
41.1 |
19.2 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
70.0% |
47.1% |
56.0% |
46.2% |
36.8% |
35.9% |
5.7% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
25.6% |
40.8% |
-21.2% |
38.0% |
4.6% |
21.6% |
-53.3% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
70.0% |
47.1% |
56.0% |
46.2% |
36.8% |
35.9% |
5.7% |
42.5% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
25.6% |
40.8% |
-21.2% |
38.0% |
4.6% |
21.6% |
-53.3% |
8.0% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
95.6% |
87.8% |
34.8% |
84.2% |
41.5% |
57.5% |
-47.6% |
50.5% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
10.9% |
185.2% |
42.9% |
95.4% |
23.2% |
93.0% |
-51.0% |
57.1% |
|
Garmin Ltd. (GRMN)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
|
$0.53 |
$0.53 |
$0.66 |
$0.82 |
$0.95 |
$1.43 |
$1.84 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
|
18.8 |
20.3 |
22.2 |
33.2 |
32.2 |
23.3 |
26.6 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
|
0.0% |
24.5% |
24.2% |
15.9% |
50.5% |
28.7% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
|
8.0% |
9.4% |
49.5% |
-3.0% |
-27.6% |
14.2% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
24.5% |
25.1% |
16.7% |
51.3% |
|
29.4% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
|
8.0% |
9.4% |
49.5% |
-3.0% |
-27.6% |
14.2% |
8.4% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
0.0% |
8.0% |
33.9% |
74.7% |
13.6% |
23.7% |
|
25.6% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
|
8.0% |
37.4% |
87.6% |
12.6% |
10.0% |
47.0% |
33.8% |
|
| |
|
INDIAN OUTSOURCING RELATED STOCKS |
Cognizant Technology(CTSH)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$0.10 |
$0.15 |
$0.18 |
$0.27 |
$0.42 |
$0.70 |
$1.13 |
$1.34 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
94.2 |
41.7 |
37.6 |
44.3 |
54.3 |
60.5 |
44.5 |
55.2 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
50.0% |
20.0% |
50.0% |
55.6% |
66.7% |
61.4% |
18.6% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-55.7% |
-9.8% |
17.8% |
22.6% |
11.4% |
-26.4% |
24.0% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
50.0% |
20.0% |
50.0% |
55.6% |
66.7% |
61.4% |
18.6% |
46.0% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-55.7% |
-9.8% |
17.8% |
22.6% |
11.4% |
-26.4% |
24.0% |
-2.3% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
-5.7% |
10.2% |
67.8% |
78.1% |
78.1% |
35.0% |
42.6% |
43.7% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
-33.6% |
12.9% |
76.3% |
89.5% |
85.5% |
18.8% |
47.2% |
42.4% |
|
Infosys Technologies (INFY)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
|
|
$0.50 |
$0.62 |
$0.73 |
$1.01 |
$1.52 |
$1.52 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
|
|
33.1 |
26.3 |
20.9 |
20.2 |
24.3 |
31.4 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
1.0% |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
|
|
24.0% |
17.7% |
38.4% |
50.5% |
0.0% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
|
|
-20.5% |
-20.5% |
-3.3% |
20.3% |
29.2% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
|
|
24.3% |
18.0% |
39.4% |
50.8% |
0.9% |
26.7% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
|
|
-20.5% |
-20.5% |
-3.3% |
20.3% |
29.2% |
1.0% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
|
|
3.8% |
-2.5% |
36.0% |
71.1% |
30.1% |
27.7% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
|
|
12.6% |
37.8% |
47.7% |
17.1% |
19.5% |
26.9% |
|
| |
|
HEALTHCARE RELATED STOCKS |
Johnson & Johnson
(JNJ)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$1.47 |
$1.70 |
$1.84 |
$2.16 |
$2.40 |
$2.84 |
$3.46 |
$3.65 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
31.7 |
30.9 |
32.1 |
24.9 |
21.5 |
22.3 |
17.4 |
17.8 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
1.2% |
1.2% |
1.5% |
1.8% |
1.7% |
2.1% |
1.7% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
15.6% |
8.2% |
17.4% |
11.1% |
18.3% |
21.8% |
5.5% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-2.5% |
3.9% |
-22.4% |
-13.7% |
3.7% |
-22.0% |
2.3% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
16.8% |
9.4% |
18.9% |
12.9% |
20.0% |
23.9% |
7.2% |
15.6% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-2.5% |
3.9% |
-22.4% |
-13.7% |
3.7% |
-22.0% |
2.3% |
-7.2% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
14.3% |
13.3% |
-3.5% |
-0.7% |
23.8% |
2.0% |
9.5% |
8.4% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
14.2% |
14.0% |
-7.9% |
-2.1% |
25.2% |
-3.4% |
10.0% |
7.1% |
|
Merck
(MRK)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$2.45 |
$2.90 |
$3.14 |
$3.14 |
$3.03 |
$2.61 |
$2.10 |
$2.53 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
27.4 |
32.3 |
18.7 |
18.0 |
15.8 |
12.3 |
15.2 |
16.6 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
1.4% |
2.4% |
2.5% |
3.2% |
4.7% |
4.8% |
2.8% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
18.4% |
8.3% |
0.0% |
-3.5% |
-13.9% |
-19.5% |
20.5% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
17.9% |
-42.1% |
-3.7% |
-12.2% |
-22.2% |
23.6% |
9.2% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
19.8% |
10.7% |
2.5% |
-0.3% |
-9.2% |
-14.7% |
23.3% |
4.6% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
17.9% |
-42.1% |
-3.7% |
-12.2% |
-22.2% |
23.6% |
9.2% |
-4.2% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
37.7% |
-31.4% |
-1.2% |
-12.5% |
-31.3% |
8.8% |
32.5% |
0.4% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
41.9% |
-35.9% |
-1.1% |
-11.1% |
-27.8% |
4.0% |
35.9% |
0.8% |
|
| |
|
| BANK /FINANCE RELATED STOCKS |
First Regional Bancorp (FRGM)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$0.20 |
$0.30 |
$0.30 |
$0.38 |
$0.53 |
$0.95 |
$2.06 |
$2.55 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
12.7 |
7.9 |
12.6 |
13.7 |
18.4 |
19.0 |
10.9 |
13.4 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
50.0% |
0.0% |
26.7% |
39.5% |
79.2% |
116.8% |
23.8% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-37.8% |
59.5% |
8.7% |
34.3% |
3.3% |
-42.6% |
22.9% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
50.0% |
0.0% |
26.7% |
39.5% |
79.2% |
116.8% |
23.8% |
48.0% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-37.8% |
59.5% |
8.7% |
34.3% |
3.3% |
-42.6% |
22.9% |
6.9% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
12.2% |
59.5% |
35.4% |
73.8% |
82.5% |
74.2% |
46.7% |
54.9% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
-6.7% |
64.3% |
35.9% |
87.6% |
84.3% |
25.1% |
51.3% |
48.8% |
|
Moody's Corp. (MCO)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$0.78 |
$0.49 |
$0.66 |
$0.92 |
$1.20 |
$1.40 |
$1.84 |
$2.05 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
18.9 |
26.5 |
30.2 |
22.6 |
25.3 |
31.1 |
33.4 |
31.9 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
2.3% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
-37.2% |
34.7% |
39.4% |
30.4% |
16.7% |
31.4% |
11.4% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
40.2% |
14.0% |
-25.2% |
11.9% |
22.9% |
7.4% |
-4.5% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
-34.9% |
35.2% |
39.8% |
30.7% |
17.1% |
31.7% |
11.7% |
18.8% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
40.2% |
14.0% |
-25.2% |
11.9% |
22.9% |
7.4% |
-4.5% |
9.5% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
5.3% |
49.2% |
14.6% |
42.7% |
40.0% |
39.1% |
7.2% |
28.3% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
18.7% |
56.0% |
4.0% |
47.2% |
44.1% |
42.0% |
6.8% |
31.3% |
|
|
|
COMMUNICATION RELATED STOCKS |
| China Mobile Limited (CHL) |
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$1.13 |
$2.52 |
$2.21 |
$1.68 |
$3.23 |
$3.89 |
$5.71 |
$6.38 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
35.8 |
19.1 |
18.0 |
21.7 |
13.0 |
13.2 |
9.8 |
11.2 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
2.0% |
2.3% |
2.6% |
2.4% |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.4% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
123.0% |
-12.3% |
-23.9% |
92.2% |
20.4% |
46.7% |
11.7% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-46.6% |
-5.7% |
20.5% |
-40.0% |
1.5% |
-25.7% |
14.2% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
125.0% |
-10.0% |
-21.3% |
94.8% |
22.5% |
48.7% |
13.1% |
38.9% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-46.6% |
-5.7% |
20.5% |
-40.0% |
1.5% |
-25.7% |
14.2% |
-11.6% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
78.4% |
-15.7% |
-0.8% |
54.8% |
24.0% |
23.0% |
27.3% |
27.2% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
10.2% |
-7.6% |
-8.9% |
20.6% |
28.0% |
11.8% |
29.1% |
11.8% |
|
| Vimpel-Communications (VIP) |
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
|
|
|
$0.22 |
$0.69 |
$0.78 |
$1.61 |
$1.61 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
|
|
|
21.5 |
13.3 |
22.3 |
18.1 |
26.1 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
|
|
|
213.6% |
13.0% |
106.4% |
0.0% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
|
|
|
-38.1% |
67.6% |
-18.8% |
44.1% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
|
|
|
213.6% |
13.0% |
106.4% |
0.0% |
83.2% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
|
|
|
-38.1% |
67.6% |
-18.8% |
44.1% |
13.7% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
|
|
|
175.5% |
80.6% |
87.6% |
44.1% |
96.9% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
|
|
|
90.4% |
91.5% |
67.7% |
47.5% |
74.2% |
|
|
|
INVESTMENT BANKING RELATED STOCKS |
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$2.04 |
$3.19 |
$2.19 |
$1.74 |
$3.18 |
$3.95 |
$5.44 |
$6.37 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
9.4 |
7.8 |
15.1 |
17.7 |
11.4 |
10.6 |
11.6 |
11.9 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.6% |
0.5% |
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
56.3% |
-31.3% |
-20.5% |
82.7% |
24.2% |
37.7% |
17.0% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-17.0% |
93.5% |
17.2% |
-35.5% |
-7.0% |
9.4% |
2.5% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
56.6% |
-30.9% |
-19.8% |
83.3% |
24.8% |
38.3% |
17.5% |
24.2% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-17.0% |
93.5% |
17.2% |
-35.5% |
-7.0% |
9.4% |
2.5% |
9.0% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
39.6% |
62.6% |
2.6% |
47.8% |
17.8% |
47.7% |
20.0% |
34.0% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
60.5% |
-0.8% |
-19.7% |
46.0% |
14.2% |
47.7% |
22.1% |
24.2% |
|
Bear Stearns Companies Inc. (BSC)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
|---|
| EPS $ |
$0.61 |
$0.79 |
$0.46 |
$0.80 |
$1.10 |
$1.18 |
$1.46 |
$1.42 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
63.0 |
32.3 |
59.8 |
29.8 |
33.1 |
35.4 |
20.1 |
17.5 |
|
| Dividend Yield % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
29.5% |
-41.7% |
73.9% |
37.5% |
7.2% |
23.7% |
-2.7% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-48.7% |
85.1% |
-50.1% |
11.0% |
6.9% |
-43.2% |
-12.9% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
|
29.5% |
-41.7% |
73.9% |
37.5% |
7.2% |
23.7% |
-2.7% |
18.2% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-48.7% |
85.1% |
-50.1% |
11.0% |
6.9% |
-43.2% |
-12.9% |
-7.4% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
-19.2% |
43.4% |
23.8% |
48.5% |
14.1% |
-19.5% |
-15.6% |
10.7% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
39.4% |
-65.8% |
55.9% |
-1.6% |
27.1% |
24.0% |
-28.9% |
-18.8% |
3.9% |
|
|
|
INTERNET RELATED STOCKS |
Ebay
(EBAY)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$4.10 |
$4.73 |
$3.11 |
$2.69 |
$3.45 |
$4.06 |
$4.57 |
$5.75 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.7 |
13.4 |
17.4 |
16.8 |
16.0 |
12.4 |
11.7 |
11.2 | |
| Dividend Yield % |
|
1.0% |
1.7% |
2.3% |
1.6% |
1.8% |
1.9% |
1.1% | |
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
15.3% |
-34.2% |
-13.5% |
28.2% |
17.6% |
12.5% |
25.8% | |
| P/E Change Component % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Fundamental Return % |
|
16.3% |
-32.5% |
-11.2% |
29.8% |
19.4% |
14.4% |
26.9% |
9.0% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-8.8% |
29.8% |
-3.4% |
-4.7% |
-22.5% |
-5.6% |
-4.2% |
-2.7% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
7.5% |
2.7% |
-14.6% |
25.1% |
-3.1% |
8.8% |
22.7% |
7.0% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
12.2% |
-28.3% |
-27.2% |
47.9% |
-2.3% |
4.3% |
37.0% |
6.2% |
|
Yahoo (YHOO)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
|
$0.04 |
$0.08 |
$0.21 |
$0.34 |
$0.57 |
$0.78 |
$0.73 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
| | |
79.8 |
95 |
102.1 |
55.4 |
44.6 | |
| Dividend Yield % |
| | | | | | | | |
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
|
|
|
61.9% |
67.6% |
36.8% |
-6.4% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
| | | |
19.0% |
7.4% |
-45.7% |
-19.4% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
| | | |
61.9% |
67.6% |
36.8% |
-6.4% |
39.9% |
| Speculative Return % |
| | | |
19.0% |
7.4% |
-45.7% |
-19.4% |
-9.6% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
| | | |
80.9% |
75.0% |
-8.9% |
-25.8% |
30.3% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
| |
|
|
90.5% |
80.1% |
-25.7% |
-25.7% |
29.8% |
|
|
|
MUTUAL FUND RELATED STOCKS |
Franklin Resources Inc. (BEN)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
|
|
|
$0.04 |
$0.19 |
$0.58 |
$1.28 |
$0.85 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
| | |
90.8 |
121.7 |
65 |
30.6 |
31.2 | |
| Dividend Yield % |
| | | | | | | | |
| EPS Growth Component % |
| | | |
|
205.2% |
70.0% |
-33.5% |
|
| P/E Change Component % |
| | | | |
-46.5% |
-52.9% |
19.6% |
|
| Fundamental Return % |
| | | | |
205.2% |
70.0% |
-33.5% |
80.5% |
| Speculative Return % |
| | | | |
-46.5% |
-52.9% |
19.6% |
-26.6% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
| | | | |
158.7% |
17.1% |
-13.9% |
53.9% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
| | | |
175.4% |
67.4% |
4.0% |
-32.8% |
53.5% |
|
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$1.69 |
$2.28 |
$1.91 |
$1.65 |
$1.97 |
$2.80 |
$4.06 |
$4.65 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
18.1 |
19.5 |
18.2 |
18.9 |
22.4 |
20.1 |
20.7 |
23.7 | |
| Dividend Yield % |
|
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.5% |
0.2% | |
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
34.9% |
-16.2% |
-13.6% |
19.3% |
42.1% |
45.0% |
14.5% | |
| P/E Change Component % |
|
7.7% |
-6.6% |
3.8% |
18.5% |
-10.2% |
2.9% |
14.4% | |
| Fundamental Return % |
|
35.7% |
-15.4% |
-12.8% |
19.9% |
42.6% |
45.5% |
14.7% |
18.6% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
7.7% |
-6.6% |
3.8% |
18.5% |
-10.2% |
2.9% |
14.4% |
4.3% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
43.4% |
-22.0% |
-9.0% |
38.4% |
32.4% |
48.4% |
29.1% |
22.9% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
19.6% |
-6.8% |
-2.6% |
53.9% |
34.6% |
39.7% |
21.7% |
22.8% |
|
|
|
| Technology Related Stocks |
Oracle (ORCL)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
|
|
|
$4.45 |
$4.01 |
$8.12 |
$15.24 |
$15.24 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
| | |
42.0 |
25.4 |
14.7 |
12.0 |
14.7 | |
| Dividend Yield % |
| | |
|
2.7% |
2.2% |
1.8% |
1.7% | |
| EPS Growth Component % |
| | | |
-9.8% |
102.4% |
87.6% |
0.0% | |
| P/E Change Component % |
| | | |
-39.5% |
-42.1% |
-18.3% |
22.5% | |
| Fundamental Return % |
| | | |
-7.1% |
104.6% |
89.4% |
1.7% |
47.1% |
| Speculative Return % |
| | | |
-39.5% |
-42.1% |
-18.3% |
22.5% |
-19.3% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
| | | |
-46.6% |
62.5% |
71.1% |
24.2% |
27.8% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
| | | |
45.2% |
10.0% |
57.0% |
25.8% |
34.5% |
|
Microsoft Inc. (MSFT)
| Items |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
YTD |
Average Annual Return |
| EPS $ |
$0.51 |
$0.47 |
$0.41 |
$0.38 |
$0.97 |
$1.30 |
$1.51 |
$1.51 |
|
| P/E Ratio |
102.2 |
72.2 |
77.4 |
51.5 |
42.9 |
33.9 |
29.9 |
32.6 | |
| Dividend Yield % |
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.8% |
0.9% | |
| EPS Growth Component % |
|
-7.8% |
-12.7% |
-7.3% |
155.2% |
34.0% |
16.1% |
0.0% |
| P/E Change Component % |
|
-29.3% |
7.2% |
-33.4% |
-16.6% |
-20.9% |
-11.7% |
9.0% | |
| Fundamental Return % |
|
-7.4% |
-12.3% |
-6.6% |
155.5% |
34.4% |
16.9% |
0.9% |
25.9% |
| Speculative Return % |
|
-29.3% |
7.2% |
-33.4% |
-16.6% |
-20.9% |
-11.7% |
9.0% |
-13.6% |
Expected Return %
(Our Model) |
|
-36.7% |
-5.1% |
-40.0% |
138.9% |
13.5% |
5.2% |
9.9% |
12.2% |
Actual Return %
(Morningstar) |
|
-35.1% |
4.9% |
-38.7% |
114.1% |
6.8% |
2.9% |
11.0% |
9.4% |
|
 |
